Harry Browne's stand on Social Security
Overview
Social Security is a fraudulent insurance scheme in which the government collects
money from you for your retirement and immediately spends the money on something
else. All polls show that an overwhelming majority of young Americans have little
hope of getting back a single dollar for the 15% of their wages they're pouring into it.
Social Security is also a bad deal. It provides only a meager monthly income and no
estate for you to leave to your children. But the same money, invested in a simple
bank savings account, would provide a monthly income several times greater than Social
Security, and would build an estate worth hundreds of thousands of dollars for most
people.
The Democrats and Republicans want to keep Social Security afloat through tax increases
and benefit reductions -- including raising the retirement age, invoking a means test,
and changing the cost of living index on which yearly changes are calculated.
But the only way to avoid the coming Social Security collapse is to get the government
completely out of Social Security. I want to sell trillions of dollars worth of unneeded,
unconstitutional federal assets to finance the purchase of private retirement accounts for
those who are dependent on Social Security. This would give older Americans
guaranteed contracts with private companies that have never broken their promises
-- unlike the U.S. Congress. And younger Americans would be free of the 15% Social
Security tax forever. They would be able to save on their own, earn a much higher rate
of return, have a prosperous retirement, and build a substantial fortune.
The Quotable Harry Browne: on Social Security
"Social Security is inherently unsound for the simple reason that it's a political
program run by politicians for political purposes. It will never work and it will
never be truly solvent. The only answer is to take it completely out of the hands
of the politicians."
"Social Security brings a new dimension to the field of annuities, insurance, and
retirement. There are no long, complicated contracts. No actuarial tables to pore
over. Instead, Social Security operates on a very simple principle: the politicians
take your money from you and squander it."
"Phasing out Social Security over many years won't work. The first time the stock
market dives, the Democrats and the Republicans will use that as an excuse to take
over your retirement once again."
"You're told the government has to run your retirement for you because some people
are too irresponsible to do so for themselves. But it's wrong to take responsibility
for your retirement away from you simply because some other people are irresponsible."
The Truth About Social Security
I know a dandy way you can make a lot of money. Here's the idea: Offer a retirement
plan that pays a pension more generous than people can get elsewhere. Every payday
each customer will pay you a small portion of his paycheck -- say, 2%. You promise
that when he reaches age 62 you'll send him a monthly check equal to what he was making when
he retired.
As the money comes in from your first customers, spend it and live a lush life. You
really won't need to keep money in reserve for your customers' retirement. When the
time comes to pay them, do it with money you receive from new, younger customers.
So long as you keep attracting new customers to pay into the plan, you'll be okay.
If you have trouble attracting enough new money to keep your promises, then just change
the rules. Either raise the retirement age to 65 or lower the promised benefits.
Or raise the amounts deducted from your customers' paychecks -- from 2% to 5% to 10%
to 15%, however much you need.
Of course, if you try this the government will shut you down, haul you into court,
and send you off to prison.
You'd be operating a Ponzi scheme -- named after Charles Ponzi, who set up a similar
plan in Boston in 1920. He promised to pay investors 50% profit on their money in
just 45 days. Gullible people poured money into his plan. But he couldn't possibly
earn enough on the money to equal the rate of return he promised. So when someone wanted
to withdraw his principal and interest, Ponzi simply paid him from money received
from new investors.
Eventually he couldn't meet the demands for repayment, and his scheme collapsed. He
ended up in jail.
But another such scheme was started in 1935, and this one is still going.
It's called Social Security. It, too, is a Ponzi scheme.
When Social Security was established in 1935, a trust fund was set up -- to keep the
money collected in taxes, so it could be returned with interest to each taxpayer
when he retired.
But it took politicians only four years to change the rules. Politicians can't be
expected to keep their hands off a large sum of money. So in 1939 they transformed
Social Security into a "pay as you go" system -- one in which the amounts paid to
beneficiaries come from taxes collected from other people the same year.
The Social Security tax you pay isn't put aside as a nest egg for you. It is paid
out to others older than you. The money your grandmother receives from Social Security
comes from your paycheck. And if you receive anything from Social Security, even
if you've been paying into it for 40 years, what you get will be taken from the paychecks
of younger people.
Social Security differs from a Ponzi scheme in only two ways:
- The politicians won't arrest themselves.
- The politicians can change the rules whenever necessary to keep the scheme going.
And, in fact, the rules are changed almost yearly. The tax rate is increased about
once every three years. The portion of your wages subject to Social Security tax
has risen twenty times -- from an original maximum of $3,000 to the current $60,600.
And the benefit schedules are changed frequently. Consequently, what was once a $60 annual
tax is now as much as $9,271.
But the game is getting tougher. As life expectancy rises, a larger and larger share
of the population is retired. That means each person still working has to support
more people who are collecting.
This leads to a Social Security crisis every few years. It becomes apparent that current
rates of taxation and benefits will lead to insolvency within a few years. To fix
this, a bipartisan commission is appointed, taxes are raised, benefits are changed,
and Social Security is pronounced completely safe and secure for another 50 years.
But time seems to go by rather quickly in the political world. The 50 years seem to
last only a few years -- until it becomes apparent that current rates of taxation
and benefits will lead to insolvency within a few years. So another bipartisan commission
is appointed, taxes are raised, benefits are changed, and Social Security is again
pronounced completely sound and secure for another . . . Well,
you get the point.
The tax rate has risen sevenfold since Social Security's founding in 1935. Today your
employer must deduct 7.65% from the first $60,600 of your income each year. In addition,
he has to match that dollar for dollar. So roughly 15% of the first $60,600 of your
employment earnings is lost to Social Security.
Lower Benefits?
Most people think Congress would never renege on its promises to Social Security recipients
-- no matter how bad federal finances become.
But when the only alternatives are to raise the Social Security tax rate to 35% or
40% -- or to cut off food stamps to the poor -- there may be no choice but to cut Social
Security benefits. The politicians who once were so keen on sharing the wealth will
now ask you to share the pain -- at a time in your life when you may not have the option
to go back to work and make up the difference.
Or Higher Taxes?
Economists Joel Kotlikoff, Alan Auerbach, and Jagadeesh Gokhale project that rising
costs for Social Security, Medicare, government pensions, and interest on the debt
will require future generations to pay the government 71% of everything they earn
during their lifetimes. The only alternative is for government to renege on many of the promises
it has made.
What kind of lives will our grandchildren have if they can keep only 29% of what they
earn?
It isn't just rhetoric when someone says we're passing the bills for government spending
on to our children -- although we may think our children will pass the bills on to
their children.
Each generation may pass the debt on, but it can't pass on the interest. That has
to be paid yearly -- and it keeps getting larger. Every generation already is suffering
from the government spending of earlier generations, and the bills get larger and
larger.
Our parents paid around 35% of their income in taxes. Now the Census Bureau says 47%
of the national income goes to federal, state, and local taxes. What will it be for
the next generation? 55%? 60%? 71%?
Ignoring the Problem
The politicians refuse to acknowledge any of this -- and so nothing is done to stop
the costs from mounting higher. Politicians still cite Social Security as a crowning
achievement of the New Deal -- as proof that "government works."
Both Democrats and Republicans use Social Security as a political football -- warning
the elderly that their opponents will water down their Social Security or Medicare
benefits, while denying any intent to do so themselves. And both are afraid the denials
won't be believed.
Public Skepticism
The public knows better. Polls routinely show that about two thirds of the American
people don't expect to receive a dime from Social Security.
Even among people who are only 15 years from retirement, two out of five don't expect
Social Security to survive until they start drawing their pensions.
The public is right. Social Security is broken, and it soon will collapse.
The Perfect System
But until we know what Social Security should be, there's no basis for reform. If
we were starting from scratch, what kind of system would we create?
Obviously, it should be a fully funded system. The money you put in should be saved
and invested on your behalf. And what you receive when you retire should be based
on what you put in. With this system, your pension wouldn't rely on taking money
from future generations.
Actually, a fully funded system already exists. In fact, there are many of them. They
are lifetime annuities offered by private insurance companies. You pay into the annuity
over the years, the insurance company invests the money for you, and it pays you
a lifetime pension when you retire.
When you own an annuity, you have a firm contract with an insurance company. You know
how much you have to pay every year -- and, unless you agree otherwise, the amount
you pay never changes. You know how much you'll receive when you retire -- and, unless
you agree otherwise, the amount you'll receive is guaranteed.
This is the voluntary, contractual, non-political way of providing for "Social Security."
When you have an annuity, you don't have to worry that Congress will change the rules.
Many employers already provide pensions for their employees. If there were no Social
Security system, competition for the best employees would inspire a great many more
to do the same.
What Should We Do?
Private annuities work. They've existed for hundreds of years. Government doesn't
work, although it has existed for thousands of years. Political Social Security is
a fraud that can never be fixed. It is headed for bankruptcy. The only question is
what to do about it.
In looking for a solution, we must face up to one inescapable truth:
Given the current tax rates and the promised benefits, there is no way everyone can
get from Social Security what he's been told he will get.
Most of the trillions of dollars paid into Social Security over the past 60 years
have been spent. The money can't be retrieved. The promised benefits can be paid
only if the Social Security tax is raised sharply. Or the tax can be kept where it
is now, but only by reneging on the promised benefits.
So we really have only two choices:
- Keep patching up Social Security, either by raising the Social Security tax until
it reaches, say, 70% -- or by reducing benefits steadily until they're the equivalent
of about $100 per month. Or . . .
- Act now to stop the problem from growing. Stop promising increased benefits, and get
government out of Social Security entirely, so that no one will ever again be cheated
by it.
Social Security will always be a tool for politicians to one-up their opponents by
promising bigger benefits now and leaving the necessary taxes for their successors
to impose. So it will be a chronic problem until we get it out of the hands of the
politicians.
And the longer we wait to do this, the more painful it will be when we do.
How to Save Your Retirement, Rather than Social Security
Republican and Democratic politicians keep talking about "saving Social Security."
But why should we want to save a bankrupt system that's a bad deal for everyone participating
in it?
What we really want is to free you from the 15% Social Security tax, while making
sure that no one dependent on Social Security today loses what has been promised.
Because expectations for receiving Social Security benefits are so low, we may be
able to solve the problem at a relatively small cost -- if we get the government out
now.
Millions of people depend on Social Security today. They worked for decades. Their
plans assumed that Social Security would provide some part of their retirement. I
believe these people must receive what they were promised. But I don't trust the
politicians to do it.
Instead, the government should buy from a private insurance company an annuity for
everyone who depends on Social Security. The annuities should provide lifetime incomes
similar to what Social Security has promised.
How much will this cost? A mountain of money. The exact size of the mountain is something
only the government has the information to calculate. But, based on the amounts now
being paid out each year, I estimate the cost to be roughly $5 trillion. This is,
in effect, the accumulated deficit of 60 years of "pay as you go."
Because there the government doesn't have enough money to cover all the liabilities,
I believe annuities should be provided only for those who truly need them. This means
some kind of simple, non-intrusive means test must be applied to each retiree. Those
that don't rely on Social Security shouldn't aggravate the problem further. The maximum
monthly Social Security benefit is $1,433; there are many retired people to whom
that isn't a critical amount.
People over the age of 50 who are nearing retirement and who have made plans based
on receiving Social Security should also receive annuities. Those annuities would
be smaller and wouldn't begin paying out until age 65.
Of the current retirees and those over 50 who qualify for the annuities, I would hope
that a great many would waive the right to an annuity and get along by other means
-- although we can't count on that.
In the next section I'll discuss a way to pay for the annuities without providing
any additional burden on you and other taxpayers.
And what about those under 50? To them we offer the greatest gift possible: You will
never again have to pay the 15% Social Security tax.
You will be able to fund a real retirement for yourself -- putting aside 5%, 10%, 15%,
or whatever you want from your pay -- instead of paying 15% to Social Security. By
starting before you pass 50, you can easily accumulate the necessary capital to provide
a benefit at least as large as Social Security had promised.
What Kind of America?
We need to decide what kind of America we want. Do we want a country that sinks ever
more deeply into debt -- in which generations fight with each other over a constantly
shrinking pie?
Or do we make the changes necessary now and get America back on track again -- so that
people are no longer wards of the state? We can have a country in which our citizens
are responsible, self-reliant, and self-respectful.
With regard to Social Security, we have only two choices:
- Get Social Security completely out of the hands of the government -- and do it quickly.
Give everyone a fresh start with a guarantee that from now on he'll get what he's
promised.
- Leave it all in the politicians' hands -- and put up with periodic crises, higher and
higher taxes, and more and more hostility between the generations.
For me the choice is obvious.
Your vote for a Libertarian President will be a statement that the Democrats' and
Republicans' puny plans for Social Security aren't good enough. You want the freedom
to plan a secure retirement for yourself. # # #
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