
Campaign Report
by Perry Willis
To: LibertyWire subscribers
From: Perry Willis
Subject: Campaign Report
Date: January 2001
Overview:
Between 1997 and the end of 2000, the Browne for President campaign
raised and spent $2,422,891 for its Exploratory Committee, nomination
campaign, and general election campaign.
In addition, the national Libertarian Party raised $198,911 that was
spent on advertising for the presidential campaign — making a total of
$2,621,802 that was raised and spent directly for the presidential
campaign.
By comparison, the 1996 campaign raised $51,587 in 1994, $501,708 in
1995, and $894,900 in 1996 — for a grand total of $1,448,195.
The Libertarian Party had 13,947 members at the beginning of the 1996
campaign, and roughly 33,000 at the start of the 2000 campaign --
an increase of well over 100%. Thus, we should have expected the 2000
campaign to be able to raise and spend at least $3 million. Instead, it
raised only a little over $2.4 million.
Of the amount raised by the 2000 campaign . . .
-
$1,494,961,
or 62% of the whole, was spent on outreach activities, including
advertising, the web site, graphic design, candidate tours, campaign
materials, media relations, and the volunteer program.
-
$634,961,
or 26% of the whole, was spent on fund-raising, including direct
mail, campaign events, data processing, credit-card fees, and
regulatory compliance.
-
$293,412, or 12% of the
whole, was spent on overhead and administration, including office
expenses, equipment, staff relocation, and accounting.
This report will deal with the presidential campaign’s strategy, its
successes, its failures, and its finances. A forthcoming report from Harry
Browne will deal with the campaign’s message, the legal and public
hurdles any national campaign must face, and what Harry perceives to be
the LP’s future prospects.
How a Campaign Works
Campaigns are fueled by money, media interest, volunteer outreach, and
word-of-mouth. And the amount of "fuel" a campaign acquires is
determined by how much enthusiasm it generates among its supporters and
prospects.
Enthusiasm results from being able to achieve constant acceleration,
and ever-increasing momentum. Success in one area — be it money, media
interest, volunteer outreach, or word-of-mouth — makes success more
likely in every other area. But failure in one area likewise increases the
prospects for failures elsewhere.
In order to attract financial and volunteer support, a campaign must
propose exciting projects, and this usually involves attempting to do
things that have never been done before. But there’s a basic conflict
here. If a campaign fails to propose exciting projects that push beyond
what has been done before, it will also fail to win the financial and
volunteer support it needs to achieve acceleration and momentum. Ho-hum
projects result in ho-hum support. But if a campaign pushes too far, and
fails to meet most of its goals, that too will result in the loss of
acceleration and momentum.
Campaigns must walk a tight-rope between attempting too little and
attempting too much. These factors should be kept in mind as you read this
report.
Lessons Learned
Given that the successful things the campaign did should have been
fairly obvious, it seems most useful to devote this report to an analysis
of our mistakes and obstacles. By repeating past successes, you maintain
what you’ve already built, but only by eliminating mistakes can you gain
new ground. It is our hope that those who follow after us will be able to
learn from our mistakes, and go much further than we did.
The Exploratory Committee
The most notable lessons to be learned from our campaign relate to the
failure of our Exploratory Committee to achieve its primary goals. We had
two major hopes for the Exploratory Committee:
-
To organize logistics, infrastructure,
and procedures in advance of the campaign kickoff, so that we would
not be forced to build our ship after it was already at sea, as most
previous campaigns have done.
- To begin the campaign with a bang, through the expenditure of
large sums of money on advertising right at the start.
We succeeded partially with the first goal, and failed almost
completely with the second.
Using an Exploratory Committee helped us hire staff, buy equipment, and
develop procedures far in advance of the official campaign kick-off. This
allowed us to be much more effective during the campaign than would have
been possible otherwise.
However, our efforts at advance preparation were not maximized because
we failed to meet our second goal. Our inability to raise sufficient sums
for our initial advertising burst forced us to divert time from building
infrastructure to the formulation of new plans based on reduced income.
Everything affects everything else, and anyone who is attempting to launch
any election campaign should keep in mind that failure in one area will
create unexpected expenses in others.
The Exploratory Committee failed to meet its fund-raising goals for one
very simple reason: most people don’t get interested in political
campaigns until very near Election Day. We knew going in that this would
be a problem, but we hoped to overcome it by being aggressive and
tenacious. I believed people would be motivated by the idea of starting
the campaign with a big bang, but few were. Thus the response to all our
fund-raising efforts, whether from direct mail letters or fund-raising
events, was much smaller than I had hoped. And when response is lower,
fund-raising costs rise. Your gross income is smaller, and your net is
smaller still.
Specifically, our cost of funds from direct mail during the exploratory
phase was about 40% when it should have been more like 33%, and our cost
of funds from road tours was truly disastrous. Nearly 3/4 of every dollar
raised on the road went to keep Harry on the road. We continued to try and
improve the effectiveness of our road tours because we needed to learn how
to generate large crowds effectively. As a result, we did learn much that
was helpful to us later, and Harry’s in-person appearances before
largely Libertarian groups during the pre-nomination period helped to
generate enthusiasm and recruits for the campaign. But in retrospect,
neither the knowledge gained nor the enthusiasm was worth the cost in time
and money.
Ineffective fund-raising meant not only that our cost of funds was
higher than it should have been, but also that the costs of our advance
preparations, the staff, the equipment, and the planning also consumed a
higher percentage of our smaller available revenues than we had planned.
Our overhead costs were no higher than projected, but they represented a
higher portion of a lower income number than they would have with a higher
income number. Everything you do effects everything else you do.
Finally, we were much more successful at recruiting monthly credit card
pledgers than we were at finding major donors. This meant that much of the
money we did raise would not be realized until well into the future.
Obviously, this reliable source of income was very helpful at crucial
moments during the campaign, but it did little toward achieving our goals
for the campaign kick-off.
Hindsight
I continue to believe that advance preparation is vital for any
effective presidential campaign, and that a big burst of advertising at
the start of a third-party campaign is still a vital way to establish
momentum and to show the press that we’re a serious campaign. But can it
be done? My answer is an unequivocal yes. Indeed, if we had known then
what we know now, we could have achieved it for the 2000 effort. I hope
future presidential campaigns will find some value from what I am about to
suggest.
To begin with, an exploratory committee is the wrong vehicle for what
needs to be accomplished. An exploratory committee is subject to the same
restrictions imposed upon a full-fledged campaign. What is needed is an
independent organization that’s free of the campaign finance limits and
other restrictions, so that at an early time it can do three things:
-
Discover major donors.
-
Build an email list.
- Build infrastructure and systems, and generate pre-campaign
publicity for your candidate before he is officially a candidate.
Major Donors:
By the time Harry received the nomination in July 2000, our campaign had
found more than 300 donors who could contribute $1,000 or more.
Unfortunately, it took a lot of time and money to discover these donors,
and some of what they contributed went to fund-raising and staff costs. If
the discovery costs had instead been paid by another organization built
around Harry Browne he could have phoned these donors and raised $1,000
contributions shortly before the campaign kick-off, at almost no cost to
the campaign. We might have been able, by this means, to raise at least
$250,000 very quickly, in the Fall of 1999 — apart from the money for
campaign overhead being raised separately.
Email:
If,
between 1997 and 1999, we had used other projects or another organization
to develop a large list of email names that belonged to Harry, we could
have used that list to raise additional money in the Fall of 1999. With at
least $250,000 in the bank from major donors, additional donors would have
good reason to expect the campaign to begin with a big advertising bang.
The prospect of an "advertising bang" would have appeared more
concrete and less speculative, and donors would have had more reason to
believe the goal would be achieved. Excitement would have been higher, and
it is likely that another $200,000 to $300,000 could have been raised by
email over a period of two or three months just prior to the February 2000
start of the campaign. Most of the rest of our $1.5 million goal could
have been raised through direct mail, and we even could have reduced our
goal to about $1.25 million because much less money would have gone into
fund-raising and staff expenses. We could have covered our expenses and
still had $1 million to spend on advertising.
Moreover, to have done a large chunk of this fund-raising through email
appeals would have been very powerful, for reasons explained in the next
section of this report.
Infrastructure and Publicity:
The organization that helped to discover major donors and build an email
list also could have created infrastructure and systems that could have
been copied directly for use in the campaign.
In summary, by starting with a separate entity, funds could be raised
from eager donors without any campaign limits — and without counting
against the $1,000 limits. This entity could be used to discover the major
donors that will be $1,000 contributors to the eventual campaign, develop
an email list of people who are likely to want to support the candidate,
and design the systems needed by the campaign. By having the candidate (in
this case, Harry) serve as spokesperson for the organization, we also
would have been developing name recognition and media relationships that
would have served us well during the campaign. The Democrats and
Republicans do this kind of thing all the time. This is one area in which
we need to emulate them.
As it turns out, we had a project that would have been perfect for this
purpose: the lawsuit to disband the FEC (Federal Election Commission) and
repeal all the campaign finance laws. It has been in my mind to attempt
such a suit for more than a decade. I wanted very much to do it during
this campaign, because of the publicity it would generate for the
campaign. In retrospect, we should have launched the lawsuit in 1997. We
could have used it as a vehicle to perform all the functions I listed
above that an independent organization can do for a campaign. Moreover, if
we had launched the FEC suit in 1997 we might have gained regulatory
relief by the start of the 2000 campaign, and been able to operate without
many of the legal constraints that now exist. We could have killed several
birds with one stone. (I will come back to the FEC lawsuit shortly.)
Email Is Superior to Direct Mail
The approach we have used in funding the FEC lawsuit provides the
solution for a long-standing problem. Direct mail isn’t a very efficient
tool — either for communications or for fund-raising. It takes too long
and costs too much. When you use direct mail to sell a project, you have
no idea whether you will raise enough money to fund the project
adequately. And if you don’t raise enough, do you refund the money and
abandon the project? Do you scale down the project and do less than you
had planned? Or do you divert the funds to some less-expensive project? Or
do you continue to send letters until the project is fully funded —
probably at a fund-raising cost well beyond initial estimates.
With direct mail, it takes a long time to prepare and mail an appeal.
And you have to wait a long time before you know whether the appeal will
be successful. In addition, any feedback you provide to your donors and
prospects is out of date by the time they receive it.
Direct mail is very inefficient, but email provides an effective
solution to all of direct mail’s problems. It allows you to do repeated
appeals very quickly, at almost no cost, and to constantly update your
supporters on your progress.
First, there are virtually no fund-raising expenses beyond those
required to maintain the list and a web page. Second, unlike direct mail,
email is easy to do and fast. The fund-raising we did for the FEC lawsuit
provides a case study. We set a goal, sent an initial email appeal to
raise money for the goal, reported back on the results, and kept repeating
our appeal for money until we had reached our goal. We were able to raise
$100,000 in just 10 days from beginning to end, and everyone on the list
knew where we stood at any given time. No muss, no fuss — and no cost.
Everything raised went directly to the project.
By contrast, when I was launching the LP’s Project Archimedes
membership recruitment effort in the spring and summer of 1997, it took us
many months of direct mail appeals and back-breaking telephone calls to
raise the $250,000 needed to capitalize the project. A lot of LP staff
time was consumed for this purpose that could have been devoted to other
things if there had been a better way to raise the money. And because
Project Archimedes reports had to be written, formatted, printed, and then
travel by mail, they were always out of date by the time they were
received.
Direct mail will never die, but it should be de-emphasized, whether you
are running for the State Legislature or President of the United States.
In conclusion, the goals we set for the Exploratory Committee were
probably attainable, if we had made our moves in a different order,
starting with the FEC lawsuit.
Short TV Ads vs. the Infomercial
Advertising production is another area where we should have done things
in a different order. During the spring and summer of 1999, as it became
obvious that we were not going to meet our most important goals for the
Exploratory Committee, we began to shift gears. We needed a new direction
to substitute for the goals we were abandoning, something that would be
exciting and kindle more enthusiasm than the original Exploratory
Committee goals had. The most obvious thing was to shift to the next major
project on our to-do list, which was the production of a 30-minute
infomercial.
We wanted an infomercial both for advertising and for use as a handout
and an insert in our info packs. The infomercial was also important to us
because the 1996 campaign had proposed doing one but had lacked sufficient
funds. The only question was whether the first project should be an
infomercial or a series of short TV ads.
The advantage of the short TV ads is that they would have been easier
to produce and broadcast. The disadvantage of doing them first is that we
might never have gotten around to producing the infomercial. This second
point decided the issue. I felt it would be easier to do the short ads
later (it was), and that if we did not do the infomercial right away it
would never get done.
I was right to think the infomercial would not have been produced at
all if we had put it off until later. As it turned out the infomercial was
a much larger undertaking than I had anticipated. It took a huge bite out
of the staff and detracted from our efforts to prepare the logistics of
the campaign. It also took longer, in terms of elapsed time, than I had
expected. This meant that we did not have a quick success to report to our
supporters that could have served as a confidence builder for our next
step. We experienced a bump in fund-raising when we introduced the idea of
the infomercial, but we had no immediate follow-up project, and
fund-raising and cash flow suffered while we labored to complete the
video.
By the time we finished it we had little money left with which to
broadcast it. Worse still, we had difficulty buying time on national
networks. None was available. This meant we were relegated to running the
video in local markets. Very few of our supporters saw these broadcasts,
and these showings did nothing to contribute to a sense of momentum.
I think the infomercial was a great piece of work, and most of the
people who have seen it seem to agree. I’m very glad we produced it, but
if I had to do it over again I would produce the short TV ads first and
leave the infomercial to chance.
The Volunteer Program
Another casualty of the staff time consumed by the video production was
our volunteer program.
We had begun the volunteer program with the intention of providing much
more support and guidance than actually proved possible. My heavy
involvement in the video production, which engaged me in months of script
re-writes and trips to New York and Los Angeles for shoots and editing
sessions, meant that I had less time to prepare the logistical framework
for the volunteer program. And because the extended video production threw
off our fund-raising cycle, we also had less money available for this
program as well.
Our Volunteer Coordinator did a wonderful job of recruiting volunteers,
but we did a less than wonderful job of supporting them. On the whole, the
volunteer organization was a big plus. In particular, local volunteers
were essential to the success we later had on the road, resulting in large
campaign events where around 50% of the attendees were new people. But the
whole volunteer program could have gone much better if we had executed our
projects in a more effective sequence.
The FEC Challenge
The FEC challenge was another casualty of the protracted video
production.
My original intention was to prepare the lawsuit in advance of the
campaign kick-off, and to use it as a way to reinvigorate our publicity
campaign as soon as the first wave of visibility from Harry’s
announcement subsided. But the time required to do this was invested in
the video instead, and the FEC challenge was pushed back in the schedule.
The result was a lull, right after the campaign kick-off, during which
we had no advertising and very little publicity. Even so, we felt
confident that the new TV ads, once completed, and the FEC challenge, once
launched, would get things moving again. This would carry us into the
nominating convention, with its attendant publicity, on a high note. This
would have gotten the post-nomination campaign off to a fast start.
So as soon as we finished the video we raised money to produce our
short TV ads and went to work shooting and editing them. In the meantime,
we were ready to pitch a new project while we waited for the TV ads to be
finished. The FEC challenge was next in line.
I cannot imagine a project more likely than the FEC suit to win the
support of Libertarians. And so it started out. The initial response was
very enthusiastic, both in terms of contributions and supportive emails.
But that didn’t last long. One of Harry’s opponents for the nomination
published articles accusing us of challenging the FEC law in order to hide
financial misdoings and all sorts of other sins. He made so many
accusations that I’m sure even those Libertarians who thought the
charges were politically motivated must have assumed that there must be at
least some fire under all that smoke. Our fund-raising dried up
completely.
This was the low point of the campaign. We were on the ropes, deep in
debt with no cash flow. We sent out an appeal to our LibertyWire email
list asking for an emergency influx of funds. Without it, we would have
had to shut down. Fortunately, LibertyWire subscribers responded in a big
way and we were able to keep going — only to have our fund-raising take
another downturn the following month. We once again contemplated closing
the campaign, or cutting staff so severely as to all but cripple our
ability to do much of anything after the nomination.
In addition, party morale was probably pretty low at this point. The
campaign had gotten off to a poor start, and all the mud-slinging made
things even worse. On the one hand you had some people believing the LP
was in the grip of a power-mad candidate who had corrupted everyone of
importance in the party, and on the other hand there must have been a lot
of supporters of the candidate who were discouraged by all the internal
conflict — who didn’t want to be involved in a project or organization
subject to so much petty back-biting.
We decided to bet that most Libertarians would rally around the
campaign after the nominating convention chose Harry as the candidate. We
resolved to stick it out. Staff and vendors went without payment so we
could finish our TV ads, get a camera crew to the convention to shoot a
video press kit (that turned out to be very helpful), and do a few other
projects.
We were limping rather than sprinting as we went to Anaheim for the
convention, but we hoped the nomination would cure our ills and that the
party would rally for a strong finish. As it turned out, things did
improve (although not enough). Most Libertarians rallied around us, Harry
was chosen on the first ballot, and his acceptance speech helped to
energize party members — both at the convention — and watching C-SPAN
at home.
Conclusion on Pre-nomination Activities
We accomplished three things no presidential campaign had ever achieved
before: we did significant logistical preparation in advance, we built up
a contributor list and an email list, and we made the first LP
presidential campaign video. But still we failed to begin our campaign
with the bang we had set as our goal.
The military has a saying that no plan survives contact with the enemy.
Also, some say that the ultimate victor in any conflict always appears
obvious and inevitable in hindsight. The same applies to political
campaigns. No plan survives contact with reality. So you should plan for
surprises. And as far as hindsight is concerned, it now seems obvious to
me that most of our problems would have disappeared if we had simply
launched projects in a different order, starting way back in 1997. Or, to
speak more accurately, we would have had different problems, and probably
smaller ones.
The General Election
Our inability to accelerate and build momentum continued past the
nominating convention and through most of the month of July. As mentioned
before, the campaign went into the convention running on fumes, and we
came out of it in much the same condition because of problems beyond the
control of the Browne campaign.
FEC donation limits make it prudent for all the fund-raising done at
the LP’s convention banquet to go to the LNC (Libertarian National
Committee). The campaign has a $1,000 contribution limit, while the LNC
has a $20,000 contribution limit. Plus the LNC can spend almost unlimited
amounts to buy advertising for its presidential nominee. So it makes sense
to raise contributions larger than $1,000 for the LNC. The campaign
provided 4 exciting TV commercials and a crack fund-raiser, Michael Cloud,
to induce maximum giving at the convention banquet. And the results were
pretty good — as more than $100,000 was raised to go mostly to
television advertising and partially to ballot access.
The best time to have used that money to broadcast ads was right on the
heels of the C-SPAN coverage at the convention. It would have provided a
powerful sense of acceleration and momentum, resulting in increased
excitement, increased inquiries, and an influx of additional contributions
to keep the ball rolling.
But that didn’t happen because the LNC experienced several major
problems with ballot access drives. Most of our ballot access drives had
gone smoothly in 1996, but that wasn’t the case in 2000.
Ballot Access Problems
In 1996 the Pennsylvania LP had done its own ballot drive with only a
small amount of help from the LNC. But in 2000 the Pennsylvania LP never
mounted much of an effort, despite commitments to do so. The LNC had to
ride to the rescue, at great expense. And every dollar that went into the
Pennsylvania drive was taken away from advertising.
There also were problems in Oklahoma. A previously reliable vendor
failed to produce. The LP national office, most notably Political Director
Ron Crickenberger, had to intervene to save the drive. Unfortunately,
because it came late in the campaign, there was a lot of competition for
petitioners and the LNC had to pay premium prices for signatures. The
nearness of the deadline also forced the LP to collect more signatures
than it had planned in order to provide a cushion against the state’s
validity check. These unanticipated expenses also took LNC money away from
advertising and more momentum was lost.
And still more money and momentum were lost when the Libertarian
faction in Arizona that controls ballot access in that state decided to
nominate someone other than Harry Browne. Anticipating this, the LNC
decided to mount a past-deadline petition drive to put Harry on as an
independent and then challenge the filing deadline in court, both at great
expense. Thus TV advertising lost another large chunk of money, and a
poorly reasoned court decision cost Harry 50-state ballot status.
The Pennsylvania problem cost $68,000, the Arizona problem cost
$82,000, and a premium of approximately $20,000 was paid for the
difficulties in Oklahoma. In all, ballot access problems resulted in an
estimated $170,000 in unanticipated expenditures — $170,000 that should
have gone into advertising. Worse still were the losses in momentum that
resulted.
The LNC had good reason to believe it would be able to raise and spend
$1 million on advertising in 2000. The membership growth from the 1996
campaign and Project Archimedes had made the party large enough to raise
that much. But repeated losses of momentum always mean reduced
fund-raising. You can prudently budget $1 million for advertising, but you
can’t spend it if you don’t raise it, and you can’t raise it if you
don’t build momentum.
Imagined Conflicts of Interest
Some of the problems faced in 2000 were actually ghosts from 1996.
In 1996, when I was the National Director of the LNC, I determined to
make use of that year’s presidential campaign to increase the size,
strength, and funding of the Libertarian Party. I believed then, and still
believe now, that the LP’s presidential nominating process exists
primarily for the benefit of the LP, and only secondarily for the benefit
of the people who seek our nomination. I determined to use the
pre-nomination campaign period to build the strength of the party going
into the general election.
Harry Browne wanted to help me meet this goal. He was ready, willing,
and able to raise money to strengthen the infrastructure of the LP. If he
won the nomination he would have benefited from what he had helped me to
do — but if he lost the nomination, only the LP would have benefited
from the resources he brought to the party.
Harry had a number of wealthy friends. They could give only $1,000 to
his campaign, but they could give $20,000 to the party. I wanted that
money for the party. I wanted to beef up the national office so that we
could book more media, do more prospecting, process more inquiries and
fulfill more orders for materials. But, while Harry’s friends were
interested in helping him, they were skeptical of the party. They were
eager to support him immediately, but unwilling to support the party until
after he had the nomination. Somehow we had to convince them that the
party was a good investment, and that they needed to support the party now
so that Harry could achieve his full potential if and when he won the
nomination later.
I resolved to write a lengthy sales presentation that made the case for
supporting the party within the context of how that would also help Harry
later. Strangely, LNC policies were written in such a way as to permit me
to do this job if Harry’s campaign paid me for it, but I could not do it
simply as an extension of my duties as National Director. So I wrote the
document, Harry paid me for it, and we went on to raise more than $100,000
for the Libertarian Party — the majority of which was received before
Harry had the nomination. I used that money to build the party’s
infrastructure. I was able to hire George Getz, Dan Smith, and Dan
Gallagher, who served as our Director of Operations, freeing me to work on
membership recruitment projects. Harry’s campaign team moved into the LP’s
offices after the nomination, and we went on to dramatically increase the
size of the party. This was a plan where the right things were done in the
right order, and it worked.
But immediately, some Libertarians who opposed Harry used these events
to level charges of conflict of interest. Again, many people hearing these
charges assumed that where there was smoke there must be some fire, even
though no one could ever explain how the party was harmed (for instance,
no one ever suggested that the money we had raised for the LP should be
returned), or how a payment to me could result in even one more vote for
Harry at the LP’s nominating convention.
As a result, the LNC toughened its conflict-of-interest rules and the
door was effectively shut on future cooperation between the party and a
candidate for the party’s presidential nomination. And the waters were
so poisoned that we never even considered making use of LP services after
the nomination in 2000. An imagined conflict of interest had effectively
negated the harmony of interest that should naturally have existed.
This had a very negative effect on what we could accomplish in the 2000
campaign. I would have much preferred to have hired the national party to
use its existing systems to do our database management, accounting, FEC
compliance, and inquiry response. We would have been delighted for our
competitors for the nomination to do the same thing. We have nothing to
fear from fellow Libertarians. If we had done this, the LP would have
received extra income, the campaign would have saved money, the LP could
have enhanced its infrastructure and then retained the additions after the
campaign, and the LP also would have had more ready access to all of our
inquiry names. Then, after the nomination, the LP could immediately have
used our contributor names, already in its database, to increase its own
fund-raising. Instead, we had to spend extra money to duplicate these
systems for ourselves, information exchange was never really smoothed out
between the campaign and the LP after the nomination, and the LP gained
none of the lasting benefits that had accrued to it during the 1996
campaign.
It is my belief that a few malcontents raised the false
conflict-of-interest issue in a vain effort to win the LP’s presidential
nomination through the destruction of Harry Browne, because they were
unable to finance and execute a positive campaign strategy of their own.
(It is interesting to note that while the attacks against Harry Browne —
both in 1996 and 2000 — did succeed in reducing support for Harry, they
did nothing to increase support for the attackers or the attackers’
candidates.)
I would strongly urge that the LNC replace its current
conflict-of-interest policy with a very strong "harmony of
interest" policy that allows those who aspire to the LP’s
presidential nomination to work with the LNC to engage in joint efforts
that increase the size, strength, and funding of the Libertarian Party.
An Unfortunate Shift in Focus
In 1996 when the Browne campaign and the national LP worked together,
there was a unity of purpose. That purpose was to increase LP membership,
and that is exactly what we did. But in 1999 and 2000, with Browne
staffers and LP staffers avoiding each other like the plague, lest someone
accuse us of conspiring (to do what, I don’t know), there was no unity
of purpose.
The Browne Team left membership growth to the LP, while we focused on
winning votes, and trying to break the million-vote barrier for the first
time. As a result, the 2000 campaign didn’t place nearly as much
emphasis on generating inquiries as it had in 1996.
This was a mistake. Votes, as we have seen, are largely out of our
control, and subject to the conditions that exist in the major party
contest, while new members represent the future of the party and are as
good as money in the bank. In retrospect we should have focused on
membership growth, in spite of the unnatural divide that existed between
the national LP and our campaign.
Four Months Is Not Enough
A further change that should be considered is to move our nominating
convention back to April, right after the last of the major Republican and
Democratic primaries.
There will be a lull in political news at that point, and our
nomination convention should take advantage of that lull. More
importantly, the LNC needs more time after the convention to buy ads for
its nominee. Our challenge is to achieve as high a standing in the polls
as possible prior to the Democratic and Republican conventions, because it
is very possible that our poll standing will drop from that point on. Four
months for a general election campaign is not enough.
In addition, long pre-nomination campaigns are bad for party morale.
Until such time as we develop a more widespread ethic that potential
nominees should attempt to win the presidential nomination through
constructive proposals and strategy, rather than the invention of
destructive allegations, we must assume that at least one or more
candidates will engage in mud-slinging, accusations, and rumor-mongering.
And the earlier we nominate a candidate, the sooner we can have that
behind us.
Does this mean we should move our nomination back to the prior year? I
don’t think so. A candidate for the nomination should be auditioning for
the job, doing outreach to the public, showing LP members how persuasive
he is. If he has to start doing this more than a year before the election,
a lot of resources will be wasted trying to talk to people at a time when
they aren’t interested in politics. I think nominating in the spring of
the election year would strike the right balance.
Joint Nomination
Another change I suggest is that presidential candidates choose their
own running mates in advance of the nominating convention. It is
inefficient to have the presidential and vice-presidential campaign teams
merge their operations in a hurry following the nomination. That’s the
time to accelerate, not to slow down and re-group.
Art Olivier was an excellent VP candidate, and Harry was delighted to
have him as his running mate. If the policy were different, Harry could
have made a deliberate choice between Art Olivier and Ken Krawchuk early
in 2000, and incorporated the choice into his campaign before the
convention. As it was, we had to try and do it on the fly, at great cost
to the campaign and to Art. We never were able to do justice to Art’s
talent or to use him fully. This is foolish. The candidates for president
and vice president are chosen jointly on Election Day; they should be
chosen jointly at our convention as well.
Conclusion
I’ve given you a lot of information about what I think we could have
done better. Does that mean I think someone else would have done a
superior job to what we did? No, not in the real world, and the real world
is where we live. In the real world, if someone else could have done a
better job, we would have seen it happen. Someone would have done more
effective pre-nomination outreach, thereby demonstrating his superiority,
and beaten us for the nomination. But no one did — or even came close.
I hope this report has helped to show the complexity involved in a
presidential campaign. It is easy for arm-chair quarterbacks to issue
one-liners summarizing what we should have done. But a presidential
campaign isn’t a one-liner. It involves a strategic plan; a great deal
of fund-raising; a talented, underpaid, overworked staff; relations with
media people; developing projects for volunteers; and much more. Ours was
the only campaign that respected these needs and set about to take care of
them.
Other candidates with ideas of what they would do with the nomination
could have demonstrated their ideas in the pre-nomination period. But none
of them did. Meanwhile, at least two thirds of our pre-nomination effort
was focused on the general election — building a strategic plan, working
to get into the polls, raising money, producing ads and an infomercial,
building a volunteer organization, getting Harry before the general
public. Libertarians were able to see that we took the task seriously, and
that’s why we won the nomination.
I haven’t given you a bunch of spin in this report. I also haven’t
discussed a lot of our achievements. I’m more concerned that all of us
learn from our mistakes, and grow and improve. And I want you to trust
that we on the Browne Team have learned things that will be reflected in
our future efforts on behalf of the libertarian cause and the LP. As we
embark on new ventures, we intend to make new mistakes rather than repeat
old ones, and to create new successes as a result.
Some of the problems of a presidential campaign simply aren’t
solvable today — even in hindsight. We may be the biggest and best
organized of the small parties, but we’re still a small party. Like the
other small parties, we’re legally discriminated against by the campaign
finance laws, the ballot-access laws, and the quasi-governmental debate
commission. And because most people in the media recognize this, they see
little reason to pay much attention to our campaigns.
It’s easy to say a presidential campaign should do this or that, but
the LP’s candidate will never be a source of daily news until he or she
is able to mount a large, well-financed campaign that can cause big
problems for one or both of the major parties. But with the current
campaign laws, that kind of campaign can happen only if a very wealthy
individual runs as the LP’s presidential or vice-presidential candidate.
And then we have the problem that such a person might not feel as
comfortable as you or I do with all aspects of the LP’s platform and the
libertarian philosophy. Who knows what he’ll say in our name?
There is only one solution to all this that I know of: we must have a
much larger party — a party big enough to support a presidential
campaign of at least $10 million, although I’d much prefer to see one of
$20 million. When we can do that, the press will pay attention, the
wasted-vote barrier will shrink dramatically, our local candidates will
get much more support from national advertising, and we will be on our
way. That’s why I have for years pushed every button I can get my finger
on to try to promote party membership. We can become a "big"
party only by becoming big.
So, while we recognize the mistakes made in this presidential campaign,
don’t assume that some other campaign or approach would have produced a
much better vote total facing the same conditions we faced. We’re simply
not in the big leagues yet.
So maybe we should be thankful for what we did achieve: a good
deal of coverage for key libertarian issues — repealing the income tax,
freeing you from Social Security, ending the Drug War, repealing the gun
laws — and letting the people who have given up on politics know there’s
a party that genuinely wants to get government out of their lives.
Should we mourn that all was not perfection? No. Remember what David
Bergland said, "Utopia is not an option." And why despair of
reality when you can learn from it?
Is the task before us too hard? If ever I begin to think that, I just
whisper the following words to myself, "The soldiers at Valley Forge
had no shoes." We have shoes, and much else besides.
Appendix: Campaign Finances
The following breakdown covers expenses over 1997, 1998, 1999, and
2000.
Advertising
In 1996 $211,226 was spent on advertising and production by the
campaign and the LNC. In 2000 the Browne campaign and the LNC together
spent $650,092 on advertising.
Of this, $326,841 was spent on the production of a 30-minute
infomercial, five 60-second TV ads, and four 60-second radio spots.
The remaining $323,251 was spent for airtime — $124,340 by the Browne
campaign and $198,911 by the LNC. The LNC also spent $43,000 on ad time
for targeted local campaigns, bringing the total spent on advertising by
the campaign and the LNC to $693,092. (Note: The Browne campaign was able
to make significant contributions toward the LNC’s investment in the
advertising campaign. After the convention we asked many of our $1,000
campaign donors to make additional contributions to the LNC. Our best
estimate is that this resulted in a little more than $70,000 in additional
income for the national LP, plus what we estimate to be our $50,000
contribution to the success of the banquet fund-raising at the national
convention, for a total contribution of $120,000 to the LNC’s efforts.)
One of our TV spots was used widely by local candidates, three others
were broadcast on national cable and local public television stations
(thanks to the efforts of staff member Robert Flohr to take advantage of
free air time), one spot was aired on a national broadcast by the LNC (the
drug commercial), and one spot was not aired because it was thought to be
perhaps a bit too edgy. The spots also were shown as news items on
national news programs, especially on the Fox TV News network, and the
Social Security ad briefly caught the interest of Tim Russert of NBC,
although it didn’t result in any coverage.
The 30-minute video had 16 airings in local markets, one airing on a
low level national cable channel, numerous airings on cable access shows,
and several airings on public broadcast stations. It also was used as a
handout and in our info packs.
The outside professionals who worked on these productions were amazed
that we got so much quality for so little money. The general impression of
the 60-second spots, for instance, was that they should have cost about
$250,000 a piece. But thanks to the frugality and ingenuity of Kristin
Overn we were able to get them done for about $31,000 each. The 30-minute
video ran over budget, but it still cost us only about $170,000. One of
the editors who worked on the spots has done several corporate campaigns,
and she felt that all of the ads were award-winning concepts. AdCritic.com
also ranked the spots highly.
The campaign spent roughly one fifth of its income on advertising. The
Nader campaign, by comparison, which raised more than $8 million dollars,
spent about one eighth of its income on advertising.
Media Relations
$190,654 was spent on media relations — including salaries for the
press staff, press kits, video mailings to journalists, and press
releases. These expenditures, along with a portion of the costs accounted
for under candidate tours, resulted in the following media coverage that
we’re aware of . . .
National TV: 53 appearances
Local TV: 80
National radio: 90
Big-city radio: 255
Small-city radio: 120
National press articles and interviews: 38
Local press: 135
Internet articles & broadcasts: 82
Total appearances, articles, & interviews: 853
In addition, our clipping service provided 1,655 articles that
mentioned Harry Browne either extensively or incidentally.
Administration
$157,654 was spent on administrative expenses. This included management
salaries over a period of nearly 4 years, as well as some accounting and
regulatory compliance expenses.
I was the highest paid campaign staff member. My beginning salary was
$50,000. In late 1999 my salary rose to $62,000. Of that amount I actually
received just a little over $50,000 during 2000, and have forgiven the
remainder. Stephanie Yanik has also forgiven most of her salary for the
final three months of the campaign. Other staff and friendly vendors are
still owed somewhere in the vicinity of $70,000. Aside from the Campaign
Manager, we had 11 people employed on a full-time basis during the general
election campaign. The average salary in this group was a little over
$30,000 a year.
Other Expenses
Internet activities: $101,317 — including web page construction and
maintenance, web hosting, maintenance of the LibertyWire email list, and
the preparation and transmission of LibertyWire messages.
Graphic design: $25,382 for campaign
materials.
Direct mail:
$277,049 for fund-raising.
Accounting:
$49,111.
Legal & regulatory:
$26,611 to comply
with the regulations, and $35,000 in legal fees for the FEC lawsuit.
Data processing:
$100,601 for handling the
funds raised, including the design and maintenance of the campaign
database and the mailing of thank-you notes.
Campaign tours:
$558,948 for travel expenses
and the staging of campaign events. The expenses were recouped through
fund-raising at the events, but the ratio of income to outgo wasn’t as
good as we’d expected. Harry visited 92 cities in 30 different states.
Headquarters:
$52,528 for rent, cleaning
services, maintenance, and deposits (some of which may be returned). This
amount is partially offset by a reduction in salary for two staff members
who lived on the site.
Volunteer program:
$90,638 for recruiting,
management, communications, data entry, and the provision of some
materials. More than 5,000 volunteers were mobilized during the course of
the campaign.
Telephone service:
$38,397 for office and
wireless phones.
Refunds:
$65,481 — mostly for donations
that were over the legal limit, but also a few refunds to dissatisfied
customers.
Shipping:
$15,657.
Office equipment:
$28,002.
Staff relocation:
$6,115 to move some staff
members to the D.C. area.
Bank services:
$25,036 for credit-card
processing charges and deposit reversals.
Ballot access:
$41 to print petitions in
Maine. (It may seem strange to have a line item for such a small amount,
but we had planned to spend more. Fortunately, the LNC took on the burden
of completing the independent petition in Maine, and all we paid for were
a few petitions.)
Campaign Report Table of Contents
|